Global warming could cause even more powerful hurricanes than ever calculated

Often when reference is made to the climate change that is bringing about and will bring about the ongoing global warming, more frequent and more powerful hurricanes and tornadoes are mentioned. And it is precisely this forecast that is the basis of a new study conducted by Edward Wolf, Professor Emeritus of the Tandon School of Engineering at the University of New York, according to which in the near future hurricanes will be even more powerful and destructive than previous studies and meteorologists in general have already calculated.

The researcher examined several datasets regarding tropical hurricanes including those compiled by atmospheric scientist Kerry Emanuel regarding the Atlantic storms that occurred from the 1930s to the present day off the coast of Africa. According to Wolf, the data shows that the power of these tropical hurricanes has increased linearly but steadily during these years with the parallel increase of global water temperatures.

In comparison with these studies, which underlined an increase in the destructiveness of these hurricanes, Wolf’s new research is a little more alarming and shows that these results were perhaps a little too optimistic.

The destructive power of Atlantic hurricanes developing off the coast of Africa could reach three times the current level if the water temperature increased by 2°C by 2100, which cannot be overlooked: “The same calculations would apply to any tropical basin on Earth, and I’m working with Dr. Emanuel now to explore this new concept in the hope that it will advance scientists’ forecasting capabilities,” he says.


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